Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?

Hungary is expected to join the Board of Peace with high certainty.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that Hungary will join the Board of Peace, reflected in a 100% probability for 'YES'. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a probability of 97.5%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming support for Hungary joining the Board of Peace.
• 2 Current sentiment is highly favorable towards Hungary's participation.
• 3 The AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating stability.
• 4 No significant liquidity concerns are evident in this market.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect future market dynamics.

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board