Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors that neither phrase will be said at the Oscars.

Current market probability indicates a 100% expectation that neither 'Ice Out' nor 'Fuck Ice' will be mentioned at the Oscars. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1.5% for 'YES', suggesting a consensus against the phrases being used. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against the phrases being said.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a very low likelihood of either phrase being mentioned.
• 3 Current sentiment is heavily skewed towards 'NO'.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 5 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

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