Will Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine will not win the upcoming mayoral election, with a market probability of 99.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a 95% likelihood of her defeat, reflecting a consensus on her low electoral prospects.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI predictions.
• 3 A confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current assessment.
• 4 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is 180 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment or news.

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).