Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Israel has a 34% chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.

The current market indicates a 34% probability for Israel to win the televote, suggesting a stronger belief in a NO outcome at 66%. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting balanced opinions among participants.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear preference for NO over YES.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about Israel's chances.
• 3 The confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty among traders.
• 4 No edge suggests the market is accurately reflecting expectations.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.