Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ivanka Trump has a very low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

The prediction market indicates a 1.05% probability of Ivanka Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination, suggesting strong skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI model estimates her chances slightly higher at 4.05%, but both figures reflect a consensus that she is unlikely to be a serious contender. With a confidence level of 75/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Ivanka Trump.
• 2 The market probability and AI probability show a significant gap.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.