Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Jared Polis has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jared Polis winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a 99.25% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, indicating a 96.25% probability of NO, suggesting that current sentiment is firmly against his candidacy.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.25%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates a strong NO at 96.25%.
• 3 Current sentiment suggests low confidence in Polis's candidacy.
• 4 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 22845 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.