Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?

Jason Anavitarte is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jason Anavitarte winning, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, which indicates a 96.95% chance of losing, suggesting that current sentiment heavily favors other candidates.

• 1 Market probability indicates a near-certain NO outcome for Anavitarte.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic but still favors NO.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.