Will Jean-Marc Governatori win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Jean-Marc Governatori is not favored to win the 2026 Nice mayoral election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jean-Marc Governatori winning the election, with a 100% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 97% probability to NO, indicating a lack of confidence in his candidacy.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low probability of YES at 3%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is over 1442 hours, allowing for potential changes.

The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).