Will Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?

Jean-Philippe Veter is highly unlikely to be the next mayor of Strasbourg.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Jean-Philippe Veter becoming the next mayor, with a market probability of only 0.05% for 'YES'. The Pulse AI probability also reflects skepticism, showing a 3.05% chance for 'YES', suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Veter's candidacy.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal support for Veter.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears to be efficiently priced based on available data.
• 5 No imminent events are likely to alter the current probabilities.

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).