Will Jeff Criswell win the GA-14 special election?

Jeff Criswell is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jeff Criswell winning the GA-14 special election, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05% for a YES outcome, indicating that market sentiment is firmly against Criswell's chances.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome for Criswell.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher but still low chance of winning.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current market pricing.
• 4 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 No time to expiry is noted, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.