Will Jennifer Strahan win the GA-14 special election?

Jennifer Strahan is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a 0.05% probability of Jennifer Strahan winning, indicating a strong consensus against her victory. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, with a 3.05% chance of her winning, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.05%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 5 The time to expiry for the election is currently unknown.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.