Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Jeon Hyun-heui has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Jeon Hyun-heui winning the upcoming election, with a consensus leaning heavily towards a 'NO' outcome. The market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a strong belief in the opposition's advantage. The confidence level suggests a moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.15%.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence in the prediction stands at 75 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 2059 hours.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.