Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Low market probability for Jimmie Åkesson as next Prime Minister of Sweden.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Jimmie Åkesson becoming the next Prime Minister, with a 96.2% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. This suggests a stable outlook against Åkesson's candidacy in the current political landscape.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 96.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 8.3%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 4418 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.