Will John Cowan win the GA-14 special election?

John Cowan is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against John Cowan winning, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of victory, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge for the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Cowan.
• 2 The probability of YES from Pulse AI is notably higher than the market, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 3 Market confidence is relatively strong, indicating stability in predictions.
• 4 The edge score of 3 suggests the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 5 Without time pressure, the market may remain stable until closer to the election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.