Will John Goodman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

John Goodman is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against John Goodman being the Republican nominee, with a 99.8% probability of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low probability of 4.7% for 'YES,' suggesting that market sentiment is firmly against his nomination.

• 1 Current market probability for Goodman as nominee is extremely low at 0.20%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating strong consensus.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available information.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 93 hours, allowing for potential changes in the political landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.