Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Market shows low confidence in Jon Ossoff winning the 2028 election.

The prediction market indicates a 2.20% probability of Jon Ossoff winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a strong consensus against his candidacy. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting minimal market movement and a fair pricing of the odds. Confidence in these predictions is relatively high at 80 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Ossoff.
• 2 The market probability is significantly lower than the AI's estimate.
• 3 Fair pricing suggests minimal arbitrage opportunities in this market.
• 4 The long time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Political dynamics could change, but current indicators are unfavorable.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.