Will Jonathan Dean be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Jonathan Dean is unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jonathan Dean being the Democratic nominee, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.05%, indicating some minimal uncertainty. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.05%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 No time to expiry is specified, affecting urgency perception.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.