Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

José Williams has a low chance of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against José Williams winning, with a 99.2% probability of 'NO'. In contrast, the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 5.3% for 'YES', indicating potential divergence in sentiment or analysis.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome for Williams.
• 2 The AI model indicates a notable discrepancy in predicted probabilities.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 795 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal).