Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Josh Shapiro has a low probability of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that Josh Shapiro will not win the 2028 election, with a 97.45% chance of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a YES outcome. This suggests a consensus that Shapiro's candidacy is unlikely to gain significant traction.

• 1 Market confidence in a NO outcome is high at 97.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 5.55%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Current political dynamics may heavily influence Shapiro's viability.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.