Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Juan Carlos Pinzón is unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Juan Carlos Pinzón winning the 2026 election, with a 99.75% probability of a NO outcome. Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 4.75% for a YES outcome, the overall sentiment indicates a lack of confidence in his candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Pinzón.
• 2 The market probability suggests a strong belief in his unlikelihood to win.
• 3 AI analysis shows a slightly more optimistic view but still favors NO.
• 4 The edge indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment as the election approaches.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).