Will Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election?

Katie Dempsey is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Katie Dempsey winning the GA-14 special election, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for her victory at 3.05%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Dempsey.
• 2 The market probability indicates a high level of confidence in the NO position.
• 3 Pulse AI's probability aligns closely with market expectations, suggesting stability.
• 4 The edge score of 3 indicates that the market is likely fairly priced.
• 5 Without new developments, Dempsey's chances appear minimal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.