Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Market strongly favors NO for Kevin Hassett's confirmation as Fed Chair.

The prediction market shows a significant probability of 99.6% for NO regarding Kevin Hassett's confirmation as Fed Chair, while the Pulse AI suggests a lower probability of 3.4% for YES. This indicates a strong consensus against his confirmation, with the market appearing fairly priced given the current confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability indicates a much lower chance for YES at 3.4%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 75 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5639 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.