Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Kim Byeong-ju has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Kim Byeong-ju winning the election, with a 99.85% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning a 95.35% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge in favor of the NO position.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Kim Byeong-ju's chances are perceived as very low by both market and AI.
• 3 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 4 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate certainty in current predictions.
• 5 Time until the election allows for potential shifts in public sentiment.

The 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeonggi Province.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.