Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Low market probability for Kim Tae-heum to win the 2026 election.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood against Kim Tae-heum winning the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election, with a 94.05% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 10.45% for a YES outcome, but overall confidence in the market remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI estimate.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 1615 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).