Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kyle Langford is unlikely to win the 2026 California Governor Election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Kyle Langford winning the California Governor Election, with a 99.05% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.95% for a YES outcome, indicating a significant gap between market sentiment and AI predictions. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 99.05%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for a YES at 3.95%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5711 hours, allowing for potential changes.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.