Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

La Shawn Ford has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-07.

The market indicates a 23.5% probability for La Shawn Ford to be the Democratic nominee for IL-07, suggesting a strong preference for other candidates. With a confidence level of 60 out of 100 and a fair pricing edge, the market appears stable. The upcoming expiry in 44 hours adds urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors 'NO' at 76.5%.
• 2 La Shawn Ford's probability is stable at 23.5%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 No edge indicates fair pricing in the current market.
• 5 Time pressure with only 44 hours until expiry may affect trading.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.