Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Market indicates low likelihood of Lee Zeldin leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Lee Zeldin leaving the Trump Cabinet, with a 99.7% probability for 'NO.' This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 95.2%, suggesting a stable expectation for Zeldin's tenure in the Cabinet until at least 2027.

• 1 Current market probability for Zeldin leaving is very low at 0.30%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.8% for Zeldin leaving.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6708 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of th