Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Leo Zacky has a low probability of winning the 2026 California Governor Election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus against Leo Zacky winning the California Governor Election in 2026, with a 99.75% chance of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of victory. The market appears fairly priced, with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.25%.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancies.
• 4 Confidence level of 75 suggests moderate certainty in current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.