Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

The market strongly favors that Liberal Alliance will not win the most seats in 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of Liberal Alliance winning the most seats in the upcoming election, with a 1.05% chance for YES and 98.95% for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus that the party is unlikely to secure a majority.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 98.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 5.55%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 278 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Danish Folketing in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).