Will LIGA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

The market strongly favors NO for LIGA winning most seats in the 2026 Senate election.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that LIGA will not win the most seats in the upcoming Colombian Senate election. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance of 1.5% for a YES outcome, indicating a consensus against LIGA's success. This strong NO sentiment reflects significant confidence in the current political landscape.

• 1 Market shows a clear NO sentiment with 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of LIGA winning at 1.5%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry for the election remains unknown, adding uncertainty.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate.

If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).