Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Low probability of Linda McMahon leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Linda McMahon leaving the Trump Cabinet, with a 98.8% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood of 5.7% for 'YES,' indicating some uncertainty, but overall confidence remains moderate at 65/100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors McMahon staying in the Cabinet.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates some potential for change, but still low overall.
• 3 Current sentiment reflects strong stability in Trump's administration.
• 4 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments but confidence remains moderate.

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of th