Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Lithuania is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Lithuania winning the televote, with a 98.95% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that current sentiment and expectations are heavily against Lithuania's chances.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong skepticism about Lithuania's chances.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher but still suggests low confidence.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 1318 hours allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.