Will Lloyd Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Lloyd Jones has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Lloyd Jones as the Republican nominee, with a 99.6% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low likelihood of his nomination at 4.9%. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 4.9%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 93 hours, adding urgency to any potential changes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.