Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

LMP is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.

The prediction market shows a very low probability of 0.10% for LMP winning the most seats, indicating strong skepticism about their electoral prospects. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, with a 3.1% chance, suggesting a consensus that LMP will not be a leading party in the next parliamentary election.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 LMP's historical performance suggests limited electoral success.
• 3 Market pricing indicates confidence in the NO position.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, limiting potential shifts.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solel