Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Malta has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.

The current market probability for Malta winning the televote is very low at 1.15%, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 5.65%, suggesting some potential for change, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55/100.

• 1 Market consensus heavily favors a NO outcome for Malta.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for YES than the market.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time until the event is approximately 1319 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.