Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Marco Rubio has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

The prediction market indicates a 20.50% probability for Marco Rubio to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower probability of 19%. With a confidence level of 75/100 and an edge of -1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a general skepticism about Rubio's candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment is largely against Rubio's nomination.
• 2 The probability suggests strong competition within the Republican field.
• 3 Historical trends show fluctuating support for candidates leading up to primaries.
• 4 Liquidity in this market may be limited, affecting price stability.
• 5 Time until expiry indicates a long period for potential shifts in candidate dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.