Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Marco Rubio has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The prediction market indicates a 12.95% probability of Marco Rubio winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a strong consensus against him at 87.05%. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 15.95%, suggesting a modest divergence in expectations, but overall confidence in a 'NO' outcome remains high.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome for Rubio.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Confidence level indicates a strong belief in the current probabilities.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge noted.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.