Will Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election?

Marcus Flowers is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.95%, indicating strong skepticism about Marcus Flowers' chances. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05% for a YES outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge. Overall confidence in this assessment is moderate at 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The gap between market and AI probabilities indicates stability in predictions.
• 3 Historical trends in special elections suggest low chances for underdogs.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears sufficient for accurate pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.