Will Melania say "Career" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

The market strongly favors Melania not saying 'Career' at the event.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that Melania will not use the word 'Career' during the event, with a consensus of 98.9% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 5.6%, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong preference for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly more optimistic view for 'YES'.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the predictions.

Melania Trump is scheduled to participate in a Fostering the Future Together working session of First Spouses and tech and education leaders on March 24, 2026 (https://www.whitehouse.gov/fostering-the-future-together/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump says the listed term during the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Melania's appearance at the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

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