Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Low probability for Melania saying 'First Lady' at the event.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Melania using the term 'First Lady' during the event, with a probability of only 1.55% for a 'YES' outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of this phrase being used. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 98.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 6.05%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

Melania Trump is scheduled to participate in a Fostering the Future Together working session of First Spouses and tech and education leaders on March 24, 2026 (https://www.whitehouse.gov/fostering-the-future-together/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump says the listed term during the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Melania's appearance at the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

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