Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Michael Younger has a very low chance of winning the 2026 California Governor Election.

The prediction market indicates a 0.15% probability of Michael Younger winning the election, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a low likelihood at 3.15%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Younger winning.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 3 There is a strong consensus among participants regarding the outcome.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in current odds.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.