Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Mike Pence is unlikely to win the 2028 Republican nomination based on current market data.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Mike Pence winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with a 99.45% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning a 96.45% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting limited confidence in Pence's candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Pence.
• 2 The market probability suggests a low likelihood of Pence's nomination.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in perceived chance for YES but remains low.
• 4 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal arbitrage opportunities.
• 5 With 22845 hours until expiry, there is ample time for potential shifts in the political landscape.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.