Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Montenegro is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current predictions.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Montenegro winning the televote, with a 99.75% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, indicating a 95.25% chance of NO, suggesting that current sentiment heavily favors other competitors.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief that Montenegro will not win the televote.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for YES, but still favors NO.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 implies that the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 1280 hours allows for potential shifts in public opinion or song releases.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.