Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Jobbik is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jobbik winning the most seats, with a 99.9% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 3.1% for a YES outcome, indicating a significant gap in expectations.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.9%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 96.9% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong market conviction.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is 284 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solel