Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Na Kyung-won has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Na Kyung-won will not win the upcoming election, with a market probability of 99.8% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 96.8% probability to 'NO', suggesting consensus on her unfavorable position.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.8%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced, with an edge of 3 indicating stability.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.