Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Market strongly favors NO for Nguyễn Hòa Bình as next Prime Minister of Vietnam.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that Nguyễn Hòa Bình will not become the next Prime Minister of Vietnam, with a very low YES probability of 0.05%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5, indicating a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability at 1.55%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry for this market is currently unknown.

Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.