Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Low probability for Nooshi Dadgostar as next Prime Minister of Sweden.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Nooshi Dadgostar becoming the next Prime Minister, with a 99.75% probability for 'NO'. The AI model also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting limited support for her candidacy in the current political landscape.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.75%.
• 2 AI probability indicates a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 4.75%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 4409 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.