Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Oh Se-hoon has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

The prediction market indicates a 9% probability of Oh Se-hoon winning, significantly lower than the AI's estimate of 13.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited volatility in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 3 Oh Se-hoon's current political standing is relatively weak.
• 4 Time until the election could influence voter sentiment.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.