Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Otto Ritter's chances in the election are nearly even, indicating a highly competitive race.

The prediction market shows a slight edge for Otto Ritter at 50.10%, while the AI model suggests a lean towards his opponent at 52.9%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 110 hours, the race is characterized as too close to call.

• 1 Market probability is very close, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight advantage for the opposition.
• 3 The edge of -3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing with only 110 hours until expiry.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).