The market strongly favors a NO outcome for ND winning seats in Slovenia's 2026 election.
Current market probabilities indicate a minimal chance of ND winning the most seats in the upcoming Slovenian parliamentary election, with a 99.85% likelihood of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting low confidence in ND's electoral success. Given the time to expiry and current odds, the market appears to be fairly priced.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with